Andrews may well wonder why his brilliant logic didn't work , The trouble is his brilliant logic is game of so well refined over the years that even he believes he knows what he is talking bout is right ,
He is very good at being ahead of the I know game but most children are forced to give up the nonconfesssional unprofessional of listening to one part of their own story only earlier
Just some of the fcas not clarified in the billions spent in speculation
Is done in the name of the best intention (Burke et al) ,
Governments who fail to accept this risk are most prone to commit us to it. Post Christian myth makers in the West who, by their own new definition, deny most of the sources of human evil , or make new doctrines about who and what , are most prone to miss the point and cause disaster ( To have closed down business for 6 months for no decreases in the mortality rate would be a disaster ; were the told of that risk and did they take as Che-ifs that advice ?)
Any leaders who tries to blame nature for evil needs to be careful - its not how many of us see nature .Collective Evil refers to something men can be part of ( for good or ill)
Governments who fail to accept that it always costs the public to effectively deal with danger are the most dangerous. If the said government is not paying for the consequences they create (
however well intentioned , were they well informed reactionary or of their own initiative? In other words if decisions are not made with all cost effective considerations ( real care) then the care ( and even discipline ) offered will be superficial and self righteous and likely to fail; likely to create many adverse consequences ( externalities ) that don't make sense long term
( eg no change to the mortality rate long term) This applies not only to people but the whole ecosystem elements involved.
All ecosystem elements play their part in creating risk , We limit talk of evil to the human component because the first thing we can do well or badly is dealing well with the human risk component.
The natural elements we deal with using science care and custodial wisdom but the human condition issues are often the least predictable/ controllable
The West used to do well to educate about risk and balance : To say that prosecution only came after based on taught simple laws ( not ones introduced for the time;); By contrast many governments of the moment have no commitment to education , believing men are determined and need incentives to act we assume well or badly, This heresy of raw power is unsustainable because while compliance can be obtained, the cost and the lost opportunity cost of sound cooperation via understanding is lost
( The Andrews government have not sought to explain how his idea of high levels of testing is mediating the progress of the disease. )
Governments who don't believe in evil incarnate are most likely to miss the source and be largely ineffective in dealing with it . They create corruption commissions when their own arrogance and ignorance is the real reason they have the incompetent people working with them Leaders must work hard to make sure they are listening to /getting advice they dont like
Such governments propensity to tyranny derives from their denial of the source of even their own evil ( eg lack of confession ) Evil includes them because all people are prone to projecting evil onto others .
Leaders are not gods and for them to act as if they are and do know what to do ( God like ) is often for them to be wrong in motivation - not right as they perceive or acting with righteous authority
This bad habit common in some , shows itself in a crisis when the normal consequences of wrong decisions are more likely to mount up and can't be covered up as easily .
Humility in a crisis means working together at a national level ( State level CMO should quietly support the Chief) )
"Getting the numbers down" is largely Daniel's idea and it maybe a very shallow idea in the context in which he has prosecuted it ," Its a wildly infectious virus" and his "second waves " are spoken of without explaining convincingly its not what he means , "We have a plan" often means they prosecute it even when they don;t work .
When something the government decides to do is not working (now quite normal) they can either admit it or get fanatical and tell us only things they want us to know ( Partial info --that deaths are increasing)
The government ( incl National ) are not telling us what we need/want to know ( eg in my case ratio of tests to casesand why high titre doesn't mean high herd immunity and antigen buildup for people in enclosed spaces, skin and other bioaerosol levels. The test and trace ideas assumptions i find unconvincing as if they are measuring presence or absence when it is clearly not just that
A good government would try to explain whether / when /why/what sort a solution a vaccine a likely , whether the virus will go away , whether there is any evidence of herd immunity and why the flattening of the curve is not evidence of developing immunity .Currently curve talk just causes confusion and high number preoccupation will not convince epidemiologists.
Governments who see themselves largely as doers of good ( Cf Doers of what works sustainably ) can fail to accept that it always costs to effectively deal with danger are most dangerous and they must weigh up the cost benefit of their actions
With a genuine crisis, mistakes will be made. Leaders who fully support the hidden info two way flow system in a crisis are unlikely to ever be culpable .
Leaders who don't actually support the integration of information up to and down to the Chief are culpable, (Why did we get 5 CMOS )
If anyone thinks wannabes are not prone to wanting to be seen as public authors of solutions ( even in a crisis) they are not being realistic. No one should judge error until its over, but all should check for potential for error as in such threats, few, if any know what to do exactly ( and exactly is the aim) Compare Complete Control as aim ( not natures aim ?)
Climate of crisis works wonders for the Attention seekers but its costing the earth .
This post adds unanswered to date ( 7th August) questions relevant and put to the CMO during the COVID crisis in ITALICS and UNDERLINED