Climate of crisis works wonders for the Attention seekers

Published 9th August 2020 several days after the State of Disaster was declared, 

When the crisis precipitated by the catatrophians is finally over in relation to COVID 19, the biggest question many will be asking is why was Andrews advisory system not working .( Morrisons too but a much lesser extent)  While  there is much complexity and Bretts ignorance and arrogance must be like those in power , its  a cocontation of  similar problems into one solution preoccupied problem . 

How do these desperately dumb attention seekers get away with their simplicities for so long ? 
Andrews thinks he knows and those who work for him too are prone to think they know what they are doing, After all why do they get and keep the job except by agreeing that Andrews knows what he is doing . The longer the powerful are in power the more like the leaders the followers get>
  Previous state leaders could be to be very expected envious of just how popular all Premiers have become ( even if for different reasons  : crisi climate does that ! ).
presumably too many of them are no different in the sense that they see themselves over the issue when fo nearly all their lives it is them who are never over them ( and their brilliance )  as the issue

  For the first time in decades/lifetime in politics  they appear to be ACTUALLY  doing something and for those in the emerging emergency and policing  services ( who are growing unsustainably ) who now populate the earth,  this is their once in a decede chance to shine . Attention seeking on a grand scale . 

SHOCKINGLY SIMPLE STATS that mean what ever Andrews wants them to mean 
Fortunately for Andrews,  noone out there is very good at stats so its going to take a while before the people realize that his use of  stats  is seriously sus .  We have not deaths with COVID and deaths from COVID as we would have with pneumonia . or no of tests in diffrent localities to give cred to them on T&T basis .

SLOWLY this week ( 28th Aug ) we suddenly have deaths by postcode and institution   they still haven't got the message that numbers of tests  would have some hope of reinforcing their sus logic on how the disease  spreads and whose fault it is .
It is a wonder Andrews isn't with his T&T mindset myth blaming nurses or visitors 4 misbehaving )
The blame game suits him an d his justification for his own T&T experiment,  RNA continues to rain down on all ----his time is coming .   

ANDREWS tells us nothing but what HE wants Us to know 
Noone still knows how anyone can suddenly ignore the risk of dying just because case numbers go down  ( stupid logic now used by the press as well )  .
Noone knows whether the wave is an infection wave or a herd immunity wave ( more likely ad the ignorant spring street spaceship isn't able to tell us what they think on the subject  
  
The incompetence  in the advisory system of Vic labor is evident in many ministries. Take the ones Lisa Neville has been prominent in  
This sort of corruption will kill more than any virus,  if its not weeded out
Basics 
 Labor has been in so long that anyone who disagrees with the Cabinet /department policy either leaves or is pushed out , Disunity is aways disastrous , but when leaders stop listening The greatest evil can and does happen ( previous post )...   Urban based bias is now the norm even though they know nothing about real world risk management 
Misplaced concreteness by mere description to suit the speculators , attention seekers and dilittants 

elements 
Inoculation possibilities Yes thee was no sitting on the stupid focus  of inoculation when developing immunity talk would have prevented much insanity 

Andrews may well wonder why his brilliant logic didn't work , The trouble is his brilliant logic is game of so well refined over the years  that even he believes he knows what he is talking bout is right ,
 He is very good at being ahead of the I know game but most children are forced to give up the nonconfesssional unprofessional  of listening to one part of their own  story only earlier 

Just some of the fcas not clarified in the billions spent in speculation





Is done in the name of the best intention (Burke et al) , Governments who fail to accept this risk are most prone to commit us to it. Post Christian myth makers in the West who,  by their own new definition,  deny most of the sources of human evil  , or make new doctrines about who and what , are most prone to miss the point and cause disaster ( To have closed down business for 6 months for no decreases in the mortality rate would be a disaster ; were the told of that risk and did they take as Che-ifs that advice ?) Any leaders who tries to blame nature for evil needs to be careful - its not how many of us see nature  .Collective Evil refers to something men can be part of ( for good or ill) 
 
Governments who fail to accept that it always costs the public to effectively deal with danger are the most dangerous. If the said government is not paying for the consequences they create ( however well intentioned , were they well informed reactionary or of their own initiative?  
In other words if decisions are not made with  all cost effective considerations ( real care) then the care  ( and even discipline ) offered will be superficial and self righteous and likely to fail; likely to create many adverse consequences ( externalities ) that don't make sense  long term  ( eg no change to the mortality rate long term) This applies not only to people but the whole ecosystem elements  involved. 

All ecosystem elements play their part in creating risk , We limit talk of evil to the human component because  the first thing we can do well or badly is dealing well with the human risk component.
The natural elements we deal  with using science care and custodial wisdom but the human condition issues are often the least predictable/ controllable   
The West used to do  well to educate about risk and balance : To say that prosecution only came after based on taught simple laws ( not ones introduced for the time;); By contrast many governments of the moment have no commitment to education , believing men are determined and need incentives to act we assume  well or badly,  This heresy of raw power is unsustainable because while compliance can be obtained,  the cost and the lost opportunity cost of sound cooperation via understanding is lost  
( The Andrews government have not sought to explain how his idea of high levels of testing is mediating the progress of the disease. ) 

Governments who don't believe in evil incarnate are most  likely to miss the source and be largely  ineffective in dealing with it .  They create corruption commissions when their own arrogance and ignorance is the real reason they have the incompetent people working with them    Leaders must work hard to make sure they are listening to /getting advice they dont like 

 Such governments propensity to tyranny derives from their denial of the source of even their own  evil ( eg lack of confession ) Evil includes them because all people are prone to projecting evil onto others . 
Leaders are not gods and for them to act as if they are and do  know what to do ( God like ) is often for them to be wrong in motivation - not right as they perceive or acting with righteous authority 
This bad habit common in some , shows itself in a crisis when the normal consequences of wrong decisions are more likely to mount up and can't be covered up as easily . 
Humility in a crisis means working together at a national level ( State level CMO should quietly support the Chief)  ) 
"Getting the numbers down" is largely Daniel's idea and it maybe a very shallow idea in the context in which he has prosecuted it  ," Its a wildly infectious virus"   and his "second waves " are spoken of without explaining convincingly its not what he means , "We have a plan" often means they prosecute it even when they don;t work  .   
When something the government decides to do is not working (now quite normal) they can either admit it or get fanatical and tell us only things they want us to know ( Partial info --that deaths are increasing) 

The government ( incl National )  are not telling us what we need/want to know ( eg in my case  ratio of tests to casesand why high titre doesn't mean high herd immunity and antigen buildup for people in enclosed spaces, skin and other bioaerosol levels. The test and trace ideas assumptions i find unconvincing as if they are measuring presence or absence when it  is clearly not just that  

  A good government would try to explain whether / when /why/what sort  a solution a vaccine a likely , whether the virus will go away , whether there is any evidence of herd immunity and why the flattening of  the curve is not evidence of developing immunity  .Currently  curve talk just causes confusion and high number preoccupation will not convince epidemiologists.  

Governments who see themselves largely as doers of good ( Cf Doers of what works sustainably ) can fail to accept that it always costs to effectively deal with danger are most dangerous and they must weigh up the cost benefit of their actions 

With a genuine crisis,  mistakes will be made.  Leaders who fully support the hidden info two way flow system in a crisis are unlikely to ever be culpable .
Leaders who don't actually support the integration of information up to and down to the Chief  are culpable, (Why did we get 5 CMOS )
If anyone thinks wannabes are not prone to wanting to be  seen as public authors of solutions ( even in a crisis) they are not being realistic. No one should judge error until its over, but all should check for potential for error as in such threats, few, if any know what to do exactly ( and exactly is the aim) Compare Complete Control as aim   ( not natures aim ?)  


Climate of crisis works wonders for the Attention seekers  but its costing the earth . 

This post adds unanswered to date ( 7th August) questions relevant and put to the CMO during the COVID crisis in ITALICS and UNDERLINED